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Even when you win 55% of your bets, you will come out consistently ahead. This really is, alternatively, easier said than done and involves more than slightly reading and checking the injury reports. If Paul the octopus picked every winner within the recent soccer World Cup, picking winning football teams should be just as easy, right? Wrong. If it were that easy, many people could be making money as well as the sports books could have to go out of business. If winning at football betting involves some knowledge, some strategy and, excellent online gambling agency allow us to face it, a dash of luck, it really is because the bookmakers set very tight lines for the games. However, if you keep the following tips in mind, it should improve your prospects of winning.
Bet as early while you can. Many of the sports books post their lines as early because they can and some offshore books do this by Sunday afternoon for the following week’s games. If you locate a game and odds that you like make certain that there are no serious injury problems for the team that you pick. Bookmakers are not perfect as well as can make mistakes in setting the line. Pounce early before heavy betting irons out the mistakes.
Concentrate on a few teams. Because knowledge is important, if you pay attention to a number of teams, you can build up a large quantity of knowledge that you can use in making your bets. Also limit your betting to just a number of games every Sunday.
Avoid heavy favorites. The crowd loves favorites and may rush to bet on them. In contrast, they can be not good choices if you want to maintain your 55% average in winning bets. Even if you need to do win a few, the payouts will be small. The top strategy is to bet on short priced underdogs because, whenever you win, you generally make more than you’ve got bet.
Use totals judiciously. Totals set early within the week are generally based upon predictions of good weather. In late season games, rain or snow sometimes affects the scoring and also a heavy wind almost always keeps scoring down. In these conditions, you would do good by betting the Under
Use yards per play ranking. One method of evaluating teams is to look at the offensive yards gained per play and the defensive yards given away per play. Teams that gain more than they lose wind up winning more games. The statistics are readily available and you may calculate the real difference with a positive difference being an advantage. The general guideline to calculate a points spread from the yardage differential is that every 0.15 yards may be worth one point. A differential of 0.60 yards between the two teams may be worth four points. As with all betting tools, use your other data and information to confirm your findings.
Do not avoid teasers. There’s a common perception that teasers are a rip-off and as a consequence best avoided. Under certain circumstances, an NFL teaser which is a two-game parlay bet might make sense.
Pay attention to the injury reports. Read the injury reports carefully to find out what difference it is going to make to the performance of your chosen team. Do not just look-at key players because all the guys in the team have to perform at their peak.
