- このトピックは空です。
-
投稿
-
Investing behavior is a popular topic among financial experts and economists trying to learn how and why investors and markets behave the way they do. Many of their discoveries and conclusions will be just as applicable to punters wagering on betting exchanges since they are to brokers and traders dealing on the financial markets. The real difference is the fact that many brokers and traders are usually working with other folks money, meaning that they must exercise strict discipline as they are liable to their clients. Conversely, the independent punter is normally only using his own money and has few restrictions about what he can do with it.
System discipline refers to fighting the temptation chase every seemingly good bet in favor of sticking to a system that has been tested and shown to be successful. Most successful systems advise the bettor to have a fixed amount of cash with which to bet (typically referred to as a “betting bank”); require that some manner of analysis or review accompany each bet; and dictate specific amounts, percentages, or odds. Most of these systems only work if the punter follows them perfectly, as adding variation changes the equations upon which the system is based. On the other hand, since most effective systems only provide small but steady profits, many punters become overconfident, impatient, playing soccer online or greedy and begin discarding aspects of their system. The result tends to be betting without a proven system and usually means the exact same hit and miss ratio as any random gambler.
The whole concept of system discipline is fundamentally counter intuitive to an average punter. Of course, he wagering on the outcome of an event that has not been determined yet. Even so, sport betting isn’t like casino gambling where the outcome is totally random; instead, research and experimentation can – and does – end in the creation of systems that will radically improve the chance of winning. With that being said, these systems will be just as good as the punter is at employing them. Failing to be consistent, chasing after non-system bets that appear reasonable, and betting beyond one’s means all cause removing any advantage that a well thought out system may offer.
Once a betting system has been developed and proven, maintaining system discipline is the primary factor necessary to maintain steady winnings. Any and all variation from that system changes the total amount of cash won or lost, rendering the end result derived exclusively from the system moot. Random betting on sports is a fool’s game because with just a little time and effort the punter can do much better.
The professional punter knows and understands that system discipline is the key to success. Using his system consistently, patiently analyzing each bet before making, refusing to get too greedy and accepting many small payouts over a couple of large ones are generally signs of a serious bettor that intends to make money. While anybody can get caught up within the excitement of wagering and clever bookmakers constantly make offers that seem very good, the professional with a proven system knows better.
